市场摘要:特朗普案的定罪对市场影响不大,亚洲市场也从过去几天的下行中恢复过来,但香港市场在MSCI指数重新平衡后大幅收低。MSCI指数下调了中国香港和中国大陆股票的权重,而上调了印度股票的权重。亚洲市场收盘时段,价值约20亿美元的头寸在中国香港被卖出,而在印度被买入。

上午,美股市场表现疲软,因为PCE通胀数据符合预期、且芝加哥PMI大幅走低。受“七巨头”拖累,纳指一度自峰值下跌近2%。午餐前后,羊毛党进场,市场缓慢回升(收盘时紧急加速),致使标普500收涨0.8%、纳斯达克100收盘保持不变。

亚洲夜盘,各股指期货均有小幅上涨,韩国Kospi例外(该指数期货较日内收盘略有下跌)。

Market Highlights While the conviction of Donald Trump did little to stir markets, Asian markets recovered from the past days’ losses, while Hong Kong markets were marked sharply lower in the close following a rebalancing of MSCI indices in which the weight for Hong Kong and China stocks was reduced and that of Indian stocks increased. In the close of Asian trading, some USD 2 billion of position value was sold in Hong Kong, China and purchased in India.

In the morning, US markets were weak as the PCE inflation number was in line and the Chicago PMI number came out sharply lower. Nasdaq was down almost 2% at its through, dragged down by the Magnificent Seven stocks. Around lunch, bargain hunters came in and markets slowly recovered with a very sharp acceleration into the close which had the S&P 500 ending up 0.8% and the Nasdaq 100 back to unchanged. 

In Asian night futures trading, markets had small gains except for Korea’s Kospi which had a small decline compared to its closing price of the day trading session.

主要股指:标普500涨0.80%至5,277.51;道琼斯涨1.51%至38,686.32;纳斯达克100跌0.01%至18,536.65。

美市个股:苹果涨0.50%至192.25美元;特斯拉跌0.40%至178.08美元;英伟达跌0.78%至1,096.33美元。

亚洲指数自各市场收盘后:日经225期货涨220点至38,710(涨0.57%);韩国Kospi200期货跌1.27点至358.78(跌0.35%);恒生指数期货涨72点至18,081(涨0.40%);恒生国企指数期货涨29点至6,385(涨0.46%);富时中国A50期货涨34点至12,396(涨0.28%)。

利率与预期:10年期美国国债利率跌5基点至4.50%;2年期美国国债利率跌5基点至4.87%;降息预期保持低迷,6月12日FOMC会议已无降息预期,7月31日会议降息的概率为14%,9月18日会议降息的概率上升至53%(成为首个主要预期的降息会议)。

外盘商品:原油期货跌0.81%至77.28美元;天然气期货涨0.35%至2.581美元;黄金期货跌0.67%至2,327.33美元。

波动率:VIX现货收于12.92(跌1.55点);VIX期货(合约期6月)收于13.70(跌0.59点);标普500指数1个月平价隐含波动率收于11.5%(基于相同行权价跌0.3点);纳斯达克100指数1个月平价隐含波动率收于15.3%(基于相同行权价跌0.7点)。

【注:此处的任何内容均不构成购买证券的要约或要约邀请。】

$TRUE PARTNER(HK|08657)$

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数据源自芝加哥时间2024年5月31日下午16时Bloomberg (平价波动率数据源自True Partner)。

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