市场摘要:昨天下跌后,美股开盘变化不大,但之后突然大幅下挫。这很可能与传言拜登总统将退出与特朗普的竞选、并将火炬传递给年轻些的民主党人有关。交易日剩余时段市场稳步下行,半导体板块表现疲软(尽管AI芯片制造商英伟达录得涨幅)。虽然在加州的市场份额大幅下滑,但马斯克的特斯拉股价仍小幅上涨。网飞(Netflix)Q2财报发布前似乎不被市场看好,但盘后财报利好发布,其股价在盘后交易中走高。
亚洲夜盘,各股指期货均有走低。香港市场跌幅最大,全会所描绘的愿景可能没有达到市场预期。
Market Highlights After yesterday’s declines, markets were initially little changed but into the morning suddenly had a strong movement lower. This may well have tied to the rumor that President Biden is to step out of the race against Donald Trump and pass the torch to a less old Democrat. The rest of the day saw steady declines, with the semiconductor sector weak, although Artificial Intelligence Chipmaker Nvidia was able to score a gain. Despite strong loss of market share in California, Elon Musk’s Tesla had a small gain. Netflix Earnings appeared to disappoint at first, but by the end of after-hours trading shares were higher.
In Asian night futures trading, all equity index futures were lower with strongest losses in Hong Kong, as the vision mapped out in the Plenum may have fallen short of the market expectations.
![](https://gbres.dfcfw.com/Files/iimage/20240719/771248453A4F2C68E2F51954AF9B6E2D_w508h551.jpg)
主要股指:标普500跌0.78%至5,544.59;道琼斯跌1.29%至40,665.02;纳斯达克100跌0.48%至19,705.09。
美市个股:苹果跌2.05%至224.18美元;特斯拉涨0.29%至249.23美元;英伟达涨2.63%至121.09美元。
亚洲指数自各市场收盘后:日经225期货跌170点至40,070(跌0.42%);韩国Kospi200期货跌3.82点至386.48(跌0.98%);恒生指数期货跌227点至17,582(跌1.27%);恒生国企指数期货跌73点至6,243(跌1.16%);富时中国A50期货跌61点至12,215(跌0.50%)。
利率与预期:10年期美国国债利率涨4基点至4.20%;2年期美国国债利率涨3基点至4.47%;降息预期有所下调(但仍比几周前高),9月降息25基点已为普遍共识(降息50基点的概率为4%),年内降息三次是目前的主要预期(概率为51%)。
外盘商品:原油期货跌0.54%至82.40美元;天然气期货涨3.10%至2.098美元;黄金期货跌0.51%至2,447.40美元。
波动率:VIX现货收于15.93(涨1.45点);VIX期货(合约期8月)收于15.25(涨0.44点);标普500指数1个月平价隐含波动率收于12.8%(基于相同行权价涨0.6点);纳斯达克100指数1个月平价隐含波动率收于18.2%(基于相同行权价涨0.1点)。
【注:此处的任何内容均不构成购买证券的要约或要约邀请。】
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数据源自芝加哥时间2024年7月18日下午16时Bloomberg (平价波动率数据源自True Partner)。
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